Industry Reports
Deutsche Bank Reports Summaries
080429 Deutsche Bank Report - GLT's 1Q in 100 Words
Deutsche Bank - Equity Research
Glatfelter {Ticker: GLT, Closing Price: USD 14.67, Target Price: USD 20.00, Recommendation: Buy}.
* Best Q1 in sector, so far. Reported $0.43. Excluding special items, underlying was $0.25. DB @ $0.20, FC @ $0.22. Lower tax rate ($0.02) & interest expense ($0.03) helped Q1. Unplanned mill outages in US created $0.03/share of headwind. Land sales @
$4200/acre.
* Segments:
* Specialty Papers. EBIT = $11.4MM, 07Q1 = $6.7MM. Key items: price = $6MM, productivity = $10.3MM, raw materials = ($9.1MM), volume/mix = ($0.9), 2 unplanned mill outages = ($1.7MM). Order flow has eased a bit, but backlogs still solid. Prices should improve in Q2.
* Composite Fibers (European mills). EBIT = $6.1MM, 07Q1 = $5.0MM. Price, volume & mix were all positive elements. Raw materials & machine rebuild were negatives.
* Other issues: (1) $15MM of land sales @ $4200/acre – no more likely in ‘08, (2) prices will rise in Q2 in most segments, but costs up as well, (3) Q2 has annual maintenance outage at 2 US mills - $0.22-0.25/share in costs.
* Change in view? Modest positive. Businesses are performing better. Maintaining Buy rating. Boosting '08 EPS from $1.00 to
$1.05 and maintaining '09 @ $1.25. |